Tip results
Every tip we publish is posted in our public Telegram channel before kickoff and written to a log that cannot be changed unnoticed; hit or miss is marked automatically from the published match data. Nothing is removed afterwards.
Summary
Card tips
The card rule's results start with its first finished tip (the rule is in force from 1 Oct 2026).
Goal stats Not yet verified
3 of 5 won
Card tips
- Rule in force
- card rule, version 3 (in force from 1 Oct 2026)
Total cards in the Premier League and La Liga (a yellow counts 1, a red 2). A tip comes only when the model's probability is clearly above the league's usual level; in the Premier League the referee counts too. At most four tips a day.
- Tip leagues
- Premier League, La Liga
- Test so far
- The model relearns every day from every match since 2014, up to yesterday. Replaying history the same way, day by day, the rule predicted cards better than the plain league average in five of eight seasons, but not in the last three. This season it is tested at real odds; every tip and result is on this page.
Waiting to start: adds League Two (England's fourth tier) cards. It has passed its tests on past seasons and starts by itself once an Estonian bookmaker lists the market and every check passes.
What is a rule?
A rule is a formula written down in advance that decides when a tip is published. It is never changed on the fly: every new version passes its tests first and starts on a set date, so the results always show which rule made each tip.
Goal stats · Not yet verified
The goal model has not passed its tests yet. We show its strongest calls separately, with their own results.
Every goal stat
| Date | Match | Call | Strength | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 |  Castellon – Ceuta | Over 2.5 goals | Strong | 1:1 | Miss |
| 4 Oct 2026 | Sociedad B – Granada | Over 2.5 goals | Weak | 2:3 | Hit |
| 3 Oct 2026 |  Kidderminster – Sutton | Under 2.5 goals | Medium | 1:1 | Hit |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Aldershot – Carlisle | Over 3.5 goals | Weak | 1:3 | Hit |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Yeovil – Boston Utd | Under 2.5 goals | Weak | 6:0 | Miss |
| By call | Finished | Hits |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2 | 1 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2 | 1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1 | 1 |
| By strength | Finished | Hits |
|---|---|---|
| Strong | 1 | 0 |
| Medium | 1 | 1 |
| Weak | 3 | 2 |
The day's tip on Telegram
Every morning (about 10:00 Tallinn time) the day's strongest card tip goes to the free Telegram channel; on some days there is none, and we say so.